Vulnerable voters and AfD believe more in the plots behind the Ukraine war

Berlin.Conspiracy stories about Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine are spreading in Germany and are believed mainly by unvaccinated AfD voters. This is the result of a representative survey conducted by the Center for Monitoring, Analysis and Strategy (Cemas), available exclusively to Editorial Network Germany (RND).

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Nearly a fifth of those surveyed tended to agree with statements about the war that were ideological about conspiracies. The survey demanded agreement with a number of data. About 12 percent fully agreed and about 20 percent agreed at least partially that Vladimir Putin is taking action “against the global elite that is holding the strings in the background.”

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Suspicion of the Western media

15% of those surveyed fully believe that the West has made Putin a scapegoat in order to divert attention from real problems, and another 16% believe this partly. Almost 7 percent fully agreed with the baseless conspiracy story that Ukraine was operating secret biological weapons laboratories with the United States, and twice that number partially agreed.

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According to the survey, skepticism about the Western media is widespread. Roughly 14 percent agreed completely, and more than 21 percent agreed in part that they could not be trusted to report on the war in Ukraine.

The lowest agreement was for the statement that the war is nothing but a distraction from the coronavirus pandemic – less than 4 percent agreed completely and more than 8 percent agreed in part. Likewise, there is a low belief in the Russian narrative that war is necessary to remove the fascist government in Ukraine.

Differences in age and electoral behavior

Cemas’ study found significant differences between different demographic and political groups. The highest level of approval for conspiracy stories about the Ukraine War was found between the ages of 30 to 49 (about 24 percent), and the lowest among people over the age of 60 (about 13 percent).

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‘Gerd needs help’

Gerhard Schroeder is more isolated than ever. The former chancellor’s companions and old friends are now desperate and increasingly anxious. They say that real drama is less political than human: “You can feel very clearly: you can no longer reach it.”

The poll results are even more impressive regarding electoral behavior: According to the study, about 60 percent of AfD voters agree with conspiratorial ideological statements about the war. Still 26 percent among left-wing voters, and about 15 among FDP voters, on the other hand, voters for CDU/CDU (about 12 percent) and SPD (about 10 percent) rarely differ on this connection. The lowest level of approval of conspiracy ideological statements is less than 4 percent among Green voters.

Alternative for Germany voters also often saw the guilt of the wars in Ukraine, the USA, the European Union and NATO.

The representative survey also establishes the connection between the myths of the Corona conspiracy and those related to the Russian war against Ukraine. The more vaccinations people receive against the Corona virus, the less they agree with ideological conspiracy statements about the war. Among non-vaccinators, agreement with such statements is highest, at just over 56 percent.

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Unvaccinated and coronavirus protesters believe conspiracy stories privately often

Even among people who are very willing to protest the state’s actions on Corona, approval is also particularly high at 56 percent. Less than 9 percent of those who showed little willingness to participate in such protests agreed with the war conspiracy accounts.

Cemas psychologist and managing director Pia Lamberti said on RND. Accordingly, it is important to develop long-term strategies to deal with it. She added that this mobilization will not simply disappear, especially in light of the multiple crises.

This is how the official Russian agency, Sputnik, circumvents European Union sanctions

With far-reaching sanctions, the EU wants to stop the propaganda of Russian state media RT and Sputnik in Europe. But the RND’s research shows how Sputnik, the Kremlin’s broker, has circumvented sanctions in Germany. Only through research did the Meta social networking group show a reaction.

Lamberti said that pro-Putin positioning in a conspiracy ideological milieu is no accident. She explained, “Also in 2014, NATO and the USA were the two enemy images that helped mobilize the successes of the ‘Vigil for Peace’, shaped by the ideology of the conspiracy.” Liberal democracies are seen as enemies in the middle, while authoritarian leaders are lauded. “This ‘body of anti-democratic attitudes’ has been underestimated for far too long.

For the study, Market Research Institute Bilendi & Respondi surveyed people between the ages of 18 and 92 from 1 to 12 April 2031 using a standardized online questionnaire. According to Cemas, the survey is representative of the German population.

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